SCOTTSDALE, ARIZONA, US — A panel of soft wheat millers and merchandisers convened at the conclusion of the North American Millers’ Association (NAMA) 2025 spring conference forecast US 2025 soft red winter wheat production at 354.107 million bushels, up 10.065 million bushels, or 3%, from 344.042 million bushels in 2024.

If the forecast is realized, soft red winter wheat production in 2025 would be the third largest in the past 10 years behind 449.017 million bushels in 2023 and 360.697 million bushels in 2021. The recent record-high production was 618.067 million bushels in 2008. The all-time record-high soft red winter wheat production was 678.017 million bushels in 1981.

Production was forecast to be up from 2024 in the Central states, the Southeast and the South/Delta/Southwest region. Increased production projections in those states more than offset production declines forecast for the Midwest and Mid-Atlantic states.

In the Central states of Indiana, Michigan, Ohio and Wisconsin, projected production of 116.437 million bushels would be up 17% from 99.590 million bushels in 2024.

In the Midwest states of Illinois, Missouri, Kentucky and Tennessee, the forecast for production at 137.966 million bushels would be down 8% from 149.684 million bushels in 2024.

In the Southeast, comprising Alabama, Georgia, Mississippi, North Carolina, South Carolina and Virginia, the production projection of 40.565 million bushels would be up 8% from 37.424 million bushels in 2024.

In the Mid-Atlantic states of Delaware, Maryland, New Jersey, New York and Pennsylvania, the forecast production of 37.205 million bushels would be down 8% from 40.239 million bushels last year.

In the South/Delta/Southwest region, including Arkansas, Kansas, Oklahoma and Texas, production projected at 22.004 million bushels would mark an increase of 29% from 17.105 million bushels in 2024.