PARIS, FRANCE — Heavy summer rain has hurt wheat crop yields and quality in the EU, according to French analyst firm Strategie Grains, Reuters reported. 

This could contribute to what it called an “explosive” global supply outlook. 

The forecast for 2021 soft wheat production was cut by 1.5 million tonnes to 131.5 million tonnes. The revised forecast is still 12.7 million tonnes above Strategie Grains’ estimate for last year’s production. 

Wet weather in the run-up to harvesting had led to disappointing yields in France and Germany while high temperatures in June had lowered yields in Poland and northern Europe, Strategie Grains said.

Harvest prospects also have deteriorated in other parts of the world, including North America and the Black Sea Region, Reuters said. Strategie Grain reduced its world wheat production by 14 million tonnes to 750.3 million tonnes.